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2
A
multinational force, by nature, is dysfunctional.
Each
group was presented with a series of three tactical- and operational-level
vignettes built around a particular task that addressed potential
problems mission members would confront. While each syndicate was
asked to consider their response to all three vignettes, they were
required to report on only the one assigned to them.
The
three vignette scenarios and their tasks were:
-
Assist in the construction of a displaced persons camp (Syndicate
1)
- Assist
in the conduct elections (Syndicate 2)
- Plan
for the military force departure (Syndicate 3)
For
each vignette, the working groups developed a concept of operations
and identified issues, concerns, opportunities, and interagency
considerations attendant to that vignetteÕs scenario. The outcomes
were briefed to UNMID Leadership in plenary session.
FINDINGS
2
VIGNETTE
1
The
mission in vignette 1 is for UNMID to assist in establishing an
IDP camp to alleviate human suffering and to establish a minimum
standard of living conditions. To this end, UNMID has brokered a
shaky cease-fire and the camp is to be erected before clashes resume.
25,000 IDPs are gathered at a single location and are living in
the open, with NGOs providing limited medical and food assistance.
The primary security threat is from roving bands. There is poor
transportation, poor sanitation, multiple health issues, and the
NGO workers are at odds with the media covering the situation. The
end state is to voluntarily return the IDPs to their origins.
Syndicate
1 proceeded to categorize tasks for completion by the host nation,
political/diplomatic, humanitarian, military and civilian police
components.. Each sectorÕs tasks were further grouped into phases.
It was observed that phases overlap within a sector, and have an
inter-relationship with the phases in the other sectors. Host nation,
political and diplomatic efforts are critical to mission success,
as is an information campaign geared toward informing the IDPs,
local residents, neighboring countries and the international community
and world media.
Refugees
are outside of the operational area of the mission, however they
represent a major effort for the IO/NGO community. When they start
to return to their origins, the military may be asked to assist
at the border crossing with security, transit camps, transportation,
feeding stations, etc. Also, a secure environment must exist in
the return location. Therefore, coordination among all of the sectors
is paramount.
Emergency
support to the group of IDPs requires extensive coordination with
numerous agencies (who have management responsibilities), host nation
authorities, political authorities, and civilian police. External
security is the normal role of the military with internal security
provided by the indigenous capacity whether police, guards, etc.
Civilian police represent and excellent resource in the area.
Coordination
mechanisms are required to mitigate problems and synchronize efforts.
Disarmament of IDPs is a difficult issue that needs a team effort
by police, military, international organizations and NGOs.
VIGNETTE
2
Several
planning assumptions were necessary to proceed with a discussion
of the details associated with conducting free and fair elections.
It was assumed that the election would receive popular support,
that the majority of IDPs and refugees will be registered to vote,
that adequate resources will be made available for the conduct of
the elections, that there is a Joint Interagency Council operating
effectively, and that the security situation will permit elections.
Mission
Objectives were to develop the environment for the conduct of free
and fair elections, to use local governmental infrastructure as
much as possible, to secure the environment during elections, to
develop a quick reaction capability and to contribute to an overarching
information campaign. The end state is defined as a fair, free and
transparent election resulting in a democratic government.
As
with the first vignette, syndicate 2 sorted out tasks by component,
including those for the military, civilian police and civilian authorities,
both host nation and those assigned as part of UNMID. The syndicate
identified several integration issues that must be addressed, such
as the training and status of observers, common and integrated communication
networks, exchange of liaison officers, rules of engagement, and
areas of responsibility requiring additional clarification as the
countdown to elections proceeded: security, logistics and the election
process itself.
The
successful conduct of free and fair elections is dependent upon
the dissemination of accurate information. To help insure a complete
information campaign, efforts should be focused on maximizing local
contacts and sources, such as the civilian police force and NGOs,
and a facility for briefing the media and a joint information electoral
cell should both be established.
Avoid
mission creep by focusing on mandate and ensuring that local, national,
and international institutions and agencies execute their pieces
of the mandate. Monitoring election results and facilitating a proper
and peaceful transition of power to legitimate elected officials
will secure a smooth transition to a new government.
A
few key lessons learned include the need to prioritize mission objectives
and to pay particular attention to perceptions, through efforts
aimed at coordination, liaison, and integration of effort. To attain
objectives, it is necessary to determine the scope of authority
by understanding responsibilities, the Security Council Resolution
calling for free and fair elections, and any applicable standard
operation procedures. It is important to monitor existing government
actions and to address any post-election power-sharing issues. In
the area of command, control and coordination, there must be a clear
understanding of the full complexity of the situation by all parties
involved.
Key
issues for discussion were defining the areas of responsibility
for all parties, the role of existing government bodies, the elections
process pre-, during, and post-elections, logistic arrangements,
and security considerations.
VIGNETTE
3
The
task is to plan for the withdrawal of military forces. The security
situation has to sufficiently stabilize such that humanitarian mandates
are being met and free and fair elections have been held. There
are a number of conditions that must be met, such as: low threat
level, minimal criminal activity, UN civilian police have set up
a training academy provide security in cities and towns, the local
police are not armed, de-mining activities are in place, improved
public infrastructure and stabilizing economy, positive return of
IDPs, and so on.
Planning
assumptions at the six-month prior to redeployment timeframe are
stabilized areas of tension, facilitated return of refugees & IDPs,
facilitated delivery of humanitarian aid, demobilization and professionalization
of the army, assistance in development of the civilian police, assistance
in emergence of independent and democratic state of Darlan, and
freedom of movement restricted only in selected sectors where necessary.
At twelve months, assumptions include the first four plus: assistance
in emergence of independent and democratic state of Darlan with
a set election date, opened air and sea ports, and a civilian
sector security warden and registration system in place.
A
concept of operations was then developed which outlined the mission
objectives of the safe and smooth withdrawal of all UN personnel,
equipment and property, the smooth hand-over of authority to another
agency and the elected government, and the assurance of a safe environment
for the continuation of peace and security. The mission would be
a three-phase event in a two-month time frame consisting of preparation,
handover and withdrawal.
Component
tasks were developed for the military, civilian police, civil administration
and humanitarians. Other key elements of the concept of operations
were integration, information and intelligence, command, control
and coordination mechanisms, and transition, mission creep, end
state and exit considerations. The end state was described as a
smooth hand-over to the newly elected government under a secure
environment, the continuation of reforms in civilian police and
armed forces, and the safe withdrawal of all UN assets.
Recommendations
include the continuation of effort under UN and "friends",
such as police and military training teams, humanitarian coordinators,
current government staffing assistance and from the UNGA, continued
economic and political support to the elected government.
Key
lessons learned are not progressing as you initially prioritize,
and the importance of knowing who is in charge: the SRSG is in charge
of UNMID overall, with the lead component for conducting the withdrawal
being the military. There may be a need to establish a "Withdrawal
Coordination Office" to assist with an integrated, orderly
and phased withdrawal.
Some
important concepts critical to success and common to all three vignettes
are:
-
A
balance between military and civilian activities. The role of
the military should be to help, assist and support the efforts
of civilians and humanitarians. Humanitarians ought to handle
IDP tasks, for example, with support from civilian police.
-
Carefully
developed measures of effectiveness. The outcomes should be
quantifiable and success should be definable in specific terms
and goals.
-
The role and influence of the press should be thoroughly understood
and missions should have press officers to address their need
for information.
-
Likewise, an information plan is needed for communication with
the affected populations.
-
Transitions are not passive undertakings. They require an integrated
effort by all who have a part in the process.
-
The SRSG does not have a part in the tasks; his/her role is
diplomacy and oversight.
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